Image: Dreamstime / Polls leading to election day on Oct. 19 show thin margins between the BC NDP and BC Conservatives.
Provincial election

Fraser Valley ridings in the balance ahead of Saturday’s election

Oct 15, 2024 | 11:30 AM

CHILLIWACK — The latest polling data reveals a very slim margin separating the two major political parties in British Columbia ahead of this weekend’s provincial election.

According to survey results shared by Research Co., an online survey of a representative provincial sample shows 45 per cent of respondents in B.C. plan to vote for the New Democratic Party, while 41 per cent of voters plan to back the B.C. Conservatives. Eleven per cent of respondents plan to support the B.C. Greens, with the remainder either undecided or voting independent.

The survey results were released Tuesday, Oct. 15, marking an unchanged support level for the NDP over recent days, while the B.C. Conservatives dipped three per cent.

“The B.C. Conservatives keep the upper hand among men (45 per cent) and voters aged 18-to-34 (44 per cent),” said Mario Canseco, president of Research Co. “The BC NDP is first among women (50 per cent) and voters aged 55 and over (53 per cent).”

The governing B.C. NDP has increased its lead over the B.C. Conservatives in Metro Vancouver (50-40) and Vancouver Island (45-33). The two parties are virtually tied in the Fraser Valley (B.C. NDP 45 per cent, BC Conservatives 44 per cent) and Southern BC (B.C. Conservatives 43 per cent, B.C. NDP 42 per cent), while the B.C. Conservatives remain ahead in Northern B.C. (52-34).

In 2020, an orange wave across portions of the Fraser Valley enabled the NDP to win two seats apiece in Langley and Chilliwack, as well as unseating a BC Liberal incumbent in Abbotsford-Mission that year.