Image: PML / File
Prices falling

Abbotsford home prices continue to weaken in October

Nov 3, 2022 | 6:00 AM

ABBOTSFORD — The benchmark price of a home in Abbotsford continued to slide last month as rising interest rates continued to cool the market. According to figures released by the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board this week, the price of a single-family detached home fell 2.5 per cent from September to October, dropping to $1,121,300. That’s down over $400,000 or 26 per cent since the market peaked in March.

When the Bank of Canada raised its interest rates by half of a percentage point October 26, it acknowledged the effects of recent increases are becoming evident in interest-sensitive areas of the economy such as the housing market. In a statement, it suggested rates will continue to rise, putting more downward pressure on housing activity.

“Given elevated inflation and inflation expectations, as well as ongoing demand pressures in the economy, the Governing Council expects that the policy interest rate will need to rise further.”

With 53 sales over the course of October, activity was up nearly 40 per cent from September, but the Abbotsford market was more than 50 per cent slower when compared to October of 2021 when the market was heating up.

The price of a townhome also fell marginally in the month-to-month comparison, down 3.7 per cent to $650,000. The price of an apartment was also down marginally to $434,800, falling 2.8 per cent.

Image: Fraser Valley Real Estate Board figures for Abbotsford

Bank of Montreal economist Benjamin Reitzes suggests the latest lower-than-expected rate hike by the Bank of Canada is a sign of a weakening economy, which could help to curb inflationary pressures and reduce the potential of high-interest rates crashing the economy.

“Unfortunately, inflation is still red-hot and has shown no real signs of cooling yet,” writes Reitzes. “That’s the fine balance the Bank of Canada is trying to achieve, threading the needle of taming inflation while not putting too much pressure on the economy.”

In his October monthly analysis, B.C. Real Estate Association Chief Economist Brendon Ogmundson said, “mortgage qualifying continues to be a significant hurdle for many potential buyers as interest rates rise.”

Most economists believe interest rates will continue to rise, over the next months, likely as soon as December and then again early in 2023. That will likely result in more downward pressure on the real estate market in Abbotsford and across the country.