Image: File Image of Liberal Leader Mark Carney. / CP

By Dylan Robertson - Canadian Press

Federal election

CP NewsAlert: Canadian Press decision desk projects Liberal government

Apr 28, 2025 | 7:28 PM

OTTAWA — The Canadian Press decision desk is projecting a Liberal government following a short, intense and heated federal election campaign.

As of 10:22 p.m. EDT, the Liberals had received 50 per cent of the popular vote while the Tories held 39 per cent.

Preliminary results for 43 ridings show the Liberals taking 28 seats and the Conservatives holding 21, with the Bloc Québécois holding four seats.

The last polls in British Columbia and Yukon closed at 10 p.m. EDT, following the Prairies and the other territories half an hour earlier.

The Newfoundland riding that had been held for a decade by Gudie Hutchings, a Liberal cabinet minister, has flipped to the Conservatives. Hutchings had opted not to seek another mandate in this election.

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The Tories have lost the South Shore-St. Margarets riding in Nova Scotia, which had been held by Rick Perkins since 2021. Liberal candidate Jessica Fancy-Landry is projected to take the riding.

Liberal Leader Mark Carney, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre and NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh spent five weeks pitching their cases to voters.

Each of the main party leaders settled into their home ridings Monday after an eventful but compressed election period that lasted the minimum 37 days.

Poilievre arrived at a polling station in his Carleton riding on Monday morning and echoed his campaign slogan by encouraging Canadians to “get out to vote — for a change” as he dropped his ballot in the box.

He wrapped up his campaign with a rally Sunday night in his home riding — one of the ridings that’s expected to see a close contest between the Liberals and Conservatives as votes are counted tonight.

Carney voted Monday afternoon alongside his wife Diana Fox Carney at a polling station set up in an Anglican church in Ottawa.

The Liberal leader asked a poll worker about the level of turnout so far, and then confessed that he was “pretty tired” after flying in from British Columbia overnight.

Singh, who cast his ballot amid the record-setting advance voting turnout earlier in the month, was still campaigning Monday in Port Moody, B.C.

He joined supporters waving signs on the side of the road and offered inspiration to the NDP volunteers headed out to knock on doors and get out the vote, saying they should tell Canadians to elect New Democrats so they can stand up to whichever party ends up forming government.

“Remind people, it’s all because of you,” he said. “Because you vote NDP, we’re able to fight for you.”

Carney, a former central banker and a political neophyte, presented himself during the campaign as a safe pair of hands for a country threatened by U.S. President Donald Trump, while Poilievre focused on addressing crime and the high cost of living.

While Singh started the campaign saying he was running for prime minister, he changed his message after two weeks and started calling on Canadians to elect New Democrats to protect social programs.

Trump loomed large over the campaign with his tariff threats and calls for Canada to become a U.S. state, causing Carney to leave the campaign trail at various times to hold meetings in his capacity as prime minister.

The American president even weighed in early on election day with a post on his Truth Social platform, where he repeated calls for Canada to join the U.S. and wished “good luck to the Great people of Canada.”

“Elect the man who has the strength and wisdom to cut your taxes in half, increase your military power, for free, to the highest level in the World, have your Car, Steel, Aluminum, Lumber, Energy, and all other businesses, QUADRUPLE in size, WITH ZERO TARIFFS OR TAXES, if Canada becomes the cherished 51st. State of the United States of America,” he wrote.

On the final full day of the campaign, all major party leaders paused to address a deadly vehicle attack at a Filipino community event in Vancouver that took the lives of at least 11 attendees, leaving more injured in hospital.

The Liberals have seen a massive rebound since the start of the year, with most polls suggesting they lead the Conservatives — who were long favoured to win a majority government while Justin Trudeau was in power.

Polls suggest the NDP could lose many of its seats as left-centre voters turn to the Liberals in an effort to prevent Poilievre from forming government.

When Parliament was dissolved, the Liberals held 153 seats in a minority government and the Conservatives formed the official Opposition with 120 seats. The Bloc Québécois held 33 seats, the NDP 24 and the Greens two. There were three independent MPs.

Because of changes to riding boundaries, the 2025 general election will see 343 seats contested, up from 338.

To reach majority status in the next Parliament, a party would need to secure a minimum of 172 seats.

— With files from Rianna Lim in Toronto and Craig Lord.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published April 28, 2025.