Image: The Canadian Press /

By Zach Amin, Q101 (Merritt)

B.C. polling

B.C. Conservatives trail B.C. NDP by only 5%: Mainstreet Research

Mar 21, 2024 | 8:02 AM

BRITISH COLUMBIA — A new poll from Mainstreet Research asked B.C. voters about how they would vote in the next provincial and federal elections.

The results show divided support for British Columbians between NDP and Conservatives provincially.

If an election were held today, four in ten would vote for the NDP (39.6 per cent), with over a third saying they would vote for the B.C. Conservatives (34.2 per cent), and less than two in 10 would vote for BC United (14.2 per cent). Less than one in 10 would vote for the B.C. Greens (9.6 per cent).

The gender divide is quite clear in B.C. among voters.

B.C. Conservatives hold a nine point lead among male voters while trailing the NDP by 20 points among female voters.

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They also lead in the interior by 10 points, are tied with the NDP on Vancouver Island, and trail the NDP by 11 points in greater Vancouver.

When asked about the next federal election, the results point to a federal Conservative rout with almost 1 in 2 voters supporting Pierre Poilievre and the federal Conservatives (49.6 per cent).

The Liberals place second with just over two in ten supporting (22.8 per cent) and the NDP third with just below two in ten (19.4 per cent).

There is a similar gender divide, although the Conservatives lead Liberals among female voters by just 6 points; that lead among male voters is more than 45 points.

Support for the Liberals is highest in greater Vancouver (26 per cent), and highest for the NDP on Vancouver Island (22.7 per cent).

“This deeper dive in to federal vote intentions in B.C. is consistent with our latest national polls” said President & CEO of Mainstreet Quito Maggi. “This is our first snapshot of BC of 2024 and is consistent with our last BC poll of 2023 that showed BC United in third. As voters come closer to an election, that support continues to erode benefitting both the NDP and the BC Conservatives.”