Image: M. Vanden Bosch / PML / This house for sale on Anglers Boulevard tends to reflect the current state of the Chilliwack real estate market: fewer sales, more inventory through active listings, and houses generally taking longer to sell.
Real estate

Real estate home prices projected to drop even more this fall

Oct 6, 2022 | 6:05 AM

CHILLIWACK — As daunting as the repeated interest rate hikes have been for customers holding variable rate mortgages, or those looking for a stability on a fixed interest rate package, there’s a silver lining for prospective home buyers looking to get into the market.

Not only are prices projected to drop by at least 2 per cent this fall, according to sales forecasts released by ReMax Canada, but people who get into the market are bound to see a return on their investment over a span of 5-7 years.

Realtor Daryl Moniz, who is president of the Chilliwack and District Real Estate Board, says sellers will still have something to show for themselves once they have skin in the game.

“Considering that the Bank of Canada has a goal to return the inflation benchmark to around 2 per cent, it will put a downward pressure on pricing,” Moniz said. “Unit sales for the province are expected to be flat for the next year. However, when looking at the average turnover in housing of 5-7 years, sellers will still see a profit from the time they purchased in the area of 55 per cent.”

On the heels of rising interest rates, record-high inflation and broader global and economic uncertainties that have impacted consumer confidence and market activity, Re/Max brokers and agents anticipate the national average residential sales price in Canada to decline by 2.2 per cent in the final months of the year, including September through December.

In regions like Vancouver, Victoria, and Kelowna, Re/Max personnel report rising interest rates are significantly impacting local market activity, resulting in waning consumer confidence, fewer multiple offers from buyers, and a shift toward more balanced conditions between buyers and sellers.

This is already happening within the local Chilliwack market. During the month of September, there were 151 real estate transactions in the CADREB jurisdiction covering Chilliwack, Agassiz, Hope, Harrison Hot Springs, and north of Hope out to Boston Bar. Of the 151 homes sold in September 2022, 71 were single-family detached homes, 32 were attached townhouses, 28 apartments were sold, 13 mobile homes were sold, six houses with acreage were sold, and one multi-family plex was sold.

Sales were down by over 53 per cent compared to the 351 housing units that sold in September 2021 in CADREB.

There are now 382 realtors in CADREB as of September, an increase from the 370 realtors a year ago at this time.